Refinance Now vs. Later: How to Decide in a Changing Market

home mortgage refinance

After a long cycle of rate hikes that began in May 2022, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has finally announced its first rate cut. This decision brings relief to many homeowners, who are now faced with an important question: Should I consider home loan refinancing now to take advantage of lower rates, or wait in the hope of further cuts?

The answer depends on several factors, including your financial situation, potential savings, and market conditions.

The Latest Interest Rate News

The recent rate cut of 25 basis points to 4.10% by the RBA marks a significant turning point after aggressive hikes aimed at curbing inflation.

This initial cut signals a potential shift toward a looser monetary policy, offering some relief to borrowers who have seen their mortgage repayments rise substantially.

However, it is unclear how many more rate cuts will follow, or when. The RBA’s forecasts suggest at least two more in 2025, with another cut in early 2026 to bring the cash rate to 3.40% by June 2026.

Other predictions are more aggressive. Speaking on NAB’s Forward View Broker Podcast, NAB chief economist Alan Oster predicted four cuts by February 2026, bringing the cash rate down to 3.10%.

While the exact number of cuts remains uncertain, this initial move suggests borrowers should carefully evaluate their options when deciding whether to refinance now or wait.

Pros of Refinancing Now

  • Immediate Savings – If your current mortgage has a higher rate, refinancing to a lower one can reduce repayments and free up cash for other financial goals.
  • Increased Borrowing Capacity – Lower rates can improve your debt serviceability, helping you secure additional funds for renovations, investments, or debt consolidation.
  • Debt Consolidation – Combining multiple debts into one loan with a lower rate can simplify your finances and reduce costs.
  • Potential Incentives – Some lenders offer cashback deals or fee waivers, making refinancing even more attractive.

Pros of Waiting to Loan Refinancing

  • Potential for Further Cuts – More rate cuts could mean even lower interest rates, maximizing your long-term savings.
  • Market Uncertainty – Lenders adjust rates differently, and economic conditions remain volatile. If rates don’t drop as expected, delaying refinancing could mean missing out on today’s savings.
  • Refinancing Costs – Fees like break costs, application charges, and legal expenses could outweigh the benefits of refinancing now.

Key Factors to Consider Before Refinancing

  • Loan Type – Fixed vs. variable rates impact your repayments and future flexibility.
  • Loan-to-Value Ratio (LVR) – A lower LVR can get you better rates, while a high LVR may require a lender’s mortgage insurance (LMI).
  • Credit Score – A strong credit score can improve your loan terms, while a weaker score may limit your options.
  • Loan Features – Offset accounts, redraw facilities, and flexible repayments can impact your overall mortgage strategy.
  • Financial Goals – Consider how refinancing aligns with your long-term plans, whether it’s property investment, debt reduction, or homeownership stability.

Work with a Professional

Before making a decision, speak to a mortgage broker. Gold Finance Group can help you compare loan options, navigate refinancing costs, and secure a loan that suits your financial situation.

Call us at 1800 911 966
Email us at connect@goldfinance.au
Fill out our online form to explore your options today!

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